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FORECASTING THE COMPETITIVE PERFORMANCE OF YOUNG ATHLETES BASED ON ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE TECHNOLOGY

Authors

R.S. Nagovitsyn Tchaikovsky State Academy of Physical Culture and Sports, Tchaikovsky
I.G. Gibadullin Tchaikovsky State Academy of Physical Culture and Sports, Tchaikovsky
O.N. Batsina Tchaikovsky State Academy of Physical Culture and Sports, Tchaikovsky
I.A. Mokrushina Tchaikovsky State Academy of Physical Culture and Sports, Tchaikovsky

Keywords:

young athletes, competitive performance, artificial intelligence, forecasting, intellectual program.

Abstract

Objective of the study was to develop a program for predicting the competitive performance of young athletes based on artificial intelligence technology.

Methods and structure of the study. As part of the scientific work, the collection and processing of individual data of athletes (n=56) was carried out according to 38 characteristics, ranked into 2-4 categories in three key areas: heredity, environment and individual.

Results and conclusions. As a result of data processing using deep neural networks and machine learning algorithms, two categories of prediction were identified: athletes who achieved a sports title or the highest category, and athletes who did not reach this level. The control testing of the created program showed only 11% of the error probability in predicting the competitive performance of young athletes. The author's program made it possible to identify reliable patterns: if a young athlete's mother has a sports title, then with 79% probability he will be effective in future competitive activities, and if he is still trained by a mentor with experience from 16 to 30 years, then the probability of reaching the highest level or sports title rises to 86%.

References

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Nagovitsyn R.S., Rassolova E.A., Senator S.Yu., Torbina I.I. Razrabotka veb-portala dlya podgotovki studentov k testirovaniyu po normam GTO [Development of a web portal for preparing students for testing according to the GTO norms]. Teoriya i praktika fizicheskoy kultury. 2016. No. 1. pp. 39-42.

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Published

18-04-2023 — Updated on 19-04-2023

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How to Cite

Nagovitsyn, R. ., Gibadullin, I. ., Batsina, O. ., & Mokrushina, I. . (2023). FORECASTING THE COMPETITIVE PERFORMANCE OF YOUNG ATHLETES BASED ON ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE TECHNOLOGY. Theory and Practice of Physical Culture, (2). Retrieved from http://tpfk.ru/index.php/TPPC/article/view/528 (Original work published April 18, 2023)